S&P Global Mobility: November auto sales continue previous three-month trend
This short article was published by S&P Global Mobility and not by S&P Global Ratings, which is an individually managed division of S&P Global.
Continuous financial headwinds suggest no news could be good news
concerning car need levelsWith volume for the month forecasted at 1.122 million units,
November U.S. vehicle sales are estimated to translate to an approximated
sales speed of 14.1 million units (seasonally changed annual rate:
SAAR). This would represent a sustained improvement from the May
through September period but will show a decline from Octobers.
14.9 million-unit speed, according to S&P Global Mobility.
analysis.The everyday selling rate metric in November (around 44-45K.
each day) would be in-line with levels because September. Translation:.
From a non-seasonally adjusted volume viewpoint, automobile sales.
continue to plug along at a stable pace.” Sales ought to continue to improve, given the expected continual,.
but moderate, improvement in general production and stock levels,”.
stated Chris Hopson, primary analyst at S&P Global Mobility.
” However, we also continue to monitor for signals of.
faster-than-expected development in stock. Presently, there are no.
clear signs; inventories have advanced as prepared for. Any.
indicator of faster than predicted growth in the general stock of.
new lorries could imply that automobile consumers are feeling the.
pressure of the present economic headwinds and pulling away from the.
market.” As a result, Octobers SAAR boost is most likely to be an anomaly.
compared to the rest of the year, Hopson said, adding that.
there are expectations of volatility in the monthly outcomes.
starting in early 2023. Market share of battery-electric lorries is anticipated to reach.
5.9% in November. Nevertheless, beyond the large seaside cities,.
retail registrations of EVs have yet to take hold, according to.
analysis from S&P Global Mobility.The top-eight EV markets in the United States are all in seaside states and.
represent 50.5% of total EV registrations so far in 2022 (through.
August). The higher Los Angeles and San Francisco urban.
areas alone account for almost one-third of overall share of the United States.
EV market. The Heartland states market share of EV sales.
is barely half of what they add to total automobile.
registrations.” BEV market share control on the two coasts is associated to.
their greater mix of early adopters compared to buyers in middle.
America,” said Tom Libby, associate director of Loyalty Solutions.
and Industry Analysis at S&P Global Mobility. “Their.
market profile is more in sync with the conventional BEV buyer.
than the middle-American profile.” But Libby sees possible for EV acceptance in top heartland.
markets: “More acceptance and much more comprehensive customer awareness is.
resulting in a natural progression of adoption from the coasts to.
the Heartland.” (For more on this analysis of EVs in the Heartland,.
please see.
this special report.) Supporting the EV improvement, product reveals surrounding the.
Los Angeles Auto Show last week continue to reflect the OEM.
focus.According to Stephanie Brinley, associate director of.
AutoIntelligence at S&P Global Mobility, “As car programs at.
their finest emphasize what people will be driving in coming years,.
the reveals during the Los Angeles Auto Show reflect the continuing.
push towards electric and energized lorries.” Of note, Fiat revealed it will bring a variation of the European.
500 EV to the U.S. starting in early 2024, restoring the 500e.
nameplate. Toyotas reveal of the 2023 Prius hybrid consisted of a.
Prime cut that will double the hatchbacks EV-only range, while.
the automaker likewise showed a rendering of the bZ (” Beyond Zero”).
electric-vehicle principle, previewing an upcoming compact SUV.
Meanwhile, Vietnamese entrant VinFast showed U.S.-trim variations of.
2 EV crossover additions to its lineup – bringing its capacity.
United States offerings to 4.
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