For all the talk of low inventories, and vehicle dealerships tacking
” market modifications” on top of MSRP, there were nearly a.
half-million systems of leftover 2022 design year automobiles still.
marketed for sale in the United States heading into the first.
weekend of December. That is on top of the 2023 cars that have.
been showing up on dealer lots.According to S&P Global Mobilitys analysis of US dealer.
promoted inventory data, mainstream brand names Ford, Chevrolet, Ram,.
and Jeep had about 300,000 units of 2022 models advertised as.
readily available for sale the week ending December 4. Those 4 brands.
represent 71% of 2022 promoted stock listed by mainstream.
brand dealerships – and 66% of all dealer-advertised inventory when.
including high-end marques.Among luxury brand names, Mercedes-Benz and Lincoln still showed the.
most remaining 2022 cars in dealer marketed stock,.
according to the S&P Global Mobility analysis.While most car manufacturers generally reduce off production in late.
summertime to transition to the new model year, and clear out the last.
of their old models by Christmas, particular automakers really have.
seen their 2022 stocks increase in October and November.” Model year discipline has actually receded,” said Cheryl Woodworth,.
consulting associate director for S&P Global Mobility. “With.
the chip shortage, inventory control is not as meticulous as it.
used to be.” Is running old inventories into the new model year a bad thing?
It can be for car manufacturers, however it might spell retail relief for.
consumers. With 22 designs bring the preconception of being “older” -.
even if the 2023 design is unchanged – that can mean dealers are.
incentivized to burn out the zero-miles 22s.” The longer you wait to alter over your model year, the more it.
hits your recurring worths in regards to tougher grading,” Woodworth.
said.Some dealers are offering below-MSRP discounts on cars that.
carried sticker-price-plus Monroney labels simply months prior to. And.
with consumer demand waning due to external financial forces such as.
inflation and recession-related layoffs, the pressure to move the.
metal increases.Usually, the stock arc for each model year follows a.
predictable curve, peaking in spring as production hits its stride,.
and then descending in summertime during the yearly selldown and the.
model year transitions in September and October. But supply chain.
mayhem has actually made it impossible for some automakers to follow.
tradition.That said, with certain aspects of the supply chain still in.
flux, it may make good sense for making continuity to continue.
If a 2023 small model change consists of a part, building 2022 models.
that is not easily available, Woodworth said.In November, Ford was still providing 2022 Escapes to.
car dealerships from its Louisville factory, as the 2023 small design.
modification is still increase. The exact same continuation of late.
production 22 models uses to the Ford Bronco Sport and Lincoln.
Corsair, which share a number of their underpinnings with the Escape.
platform.Remaining 2022 units are often particular to particular models. In.
the market for a high-end SUV? The models with the greatest remaining.
2022 design year units are the Mercedes-Benz GLC and Lincoln.
Corsair.Why the excess 22 Mercedes GLCs? Its still waiting for a 2023.
refreshing – the nationwide mbusa.com site still wasnt listing.
the 2023 as offered on December 15 – and as such 2022 designs are.
still in strong supply. Among high-end brand names, Mercedes had 33% share.
of remaining 22 models still advertised the week ending December.
4, while Lincoln represented 22% share of remaining high-end.
22s. That stated, Mercedes dealers have done a strong job of selling.
down its 2022 inventories from mid-summer in anticipation of the.
23 design arriving. And other crucial Mercedes volume designs – GLE,.
S-Class, and C-Class – are mostly represented by 2023 design.
production.Supply chain missteps likewise are affecting stocks in other.
ways. Tens of countless so-called “ghost units” of the F-150 and.
Chevrolet Silverado have actually rolled off the assembly line but were.
missing out on vital parts, and have been gathering in parking lots.
near their particular factories till they can be launched. On top.
of those unfinished units, Ford dealers had almost as many F-150s.
promoted the week ending December 4 as they carried out in August in.
September. When the ghost systems finally receive their needed parts.
and get in wholesale stock – Ford hopes it will occur by the.
end of December – that will contribute to the pressure to clear out the.
22 designs at the dealership level.The integrated black-swan occasions of COVID, semiconductor.
lacks, and the Russian intrusion of Ukraine interfered with.
standard production and supply standards – the latest downstream.
effect being the overrun of previous model-year production and.
stock. How the industry can recover to its routine cadence.
depends upon its adaptability to these continued interruptions.

This post was published by S&P Global Mobility and not by S&P Global Ratings, which is an independently handled department of S&P Global.