For all the talk of low stocks, and car dealerships tacking
” market adjustments” on top of MSRP, there were nearly a.
half-million units of remaining 2022 design year automobiles still.
promoted for sale in the United States heading into the very first.
weekend of December. That is on top of the 2023 automobiles that have.
been arriving on dealership lots.According to S&P Global Mobilitys analysis of United States dealership.
marketed stock information, mainstream brand names Ford, Chevrolet, Ram,.
and Jeep had about 300,000 systems of 2022 designs advertised as.
available for sale the week ending December 4. Those four brand names.
account for 71% of 2022 marketed stock listed by mainstream.
brand dealers – and 66% of all dealer-advertised inventory when.
including luxury marques.Among high-end brands, Mercedes-Benz and Lincoln still revealed the.
most remaining 2022 automobiles in dealership promoted stock,.
according to the S&P Global Mobility analysis.While most car manufacturers typically ease off production in late.
summer season to shift to the new model year, and clear out the last.
of their old designs by Christmas, particular automakers really have.
seen their 2022 inventories increase in October and November.” Model year discipline has lessened,” stated Cheryl Woodworth,.
consulting associate director for S&P Global Mobility. “With.
the chip scarcity, inventory control is not as precise as it.
utilized to be.” Is running old inventories into the new model year a bad thing?
It can be for automakers, however it could spell retail relief for.
consumers. With 22 models bring the stigma of being “older” -.
even if the 2023 design is unchanged – that can imply dealers are.
incentivized to blow out the zero-miles 22s.” The longer you wait to change over your design year, the more it.
hits your recurring worths in terms of harder grading,” Woodworth.
said.Some dealers are offering below-MSRP discount rates on cars that.
brought sticker-price-plus Monroney labels simply months before. And.
with consumer need subsiding due to external financial forces such as.
inflation and recession-related layoffs, the pressure to move the.
metal increases.Usually, the inventory arc for each model year follows a.
predictable curve, peaking in spring as production hits its stride,.
and then coming down in summer season throughout the annual selldown and the.
design year transitions in September and October. However supply chain.
turmoil has actually made it difficult for some automakers to follow.
tradition.That stated, with certain aspects of the supply chain still in.
flux, it may make good sense for producing connection to continue.
building 2022 designs if a 2023 small model change includes a part.
that is not easily offered, Woodworth said.In November, Ford was still providing 2022 Escapes to.
dealerships from its Louisville factory, as the 2023 small design.
modification is still increase. The same continuation of late.
production 22 models uses to the Ford Bronco Sport and Lincoln.
Corsair, which share a number of their underpinnings with the Escape.
platform.Remaining 2022 units are typically particular to certain designs. In.
the market for a luxury SUV? The models with the highest staying.
2022 design year units are the Mercedes-Benz GLC and Lincoln.
Corsair.Why the excess 22 Mercedes GLCs? Its still awaiting a 2023.
refreshing – the nationwide mbusa.com website still wasnt listing.
the 2023 as available on December 15 – and as such 2022 models are.
still in strong supply. Among high-end brands, Mercedes had 33% share.
of staying 22 models still promoted the week ending December.
4, while Lincoln represented 22% share of leftover high-end.
22s. That stated, Mercedes dealerships have done a strong job of selling.
down its 2022 inventories from mid-summer in anticipation of the.
23 design getting here. And other crucial Mercedes volume designs – GLE,.
S-Class, and C-Class – are mainly represented by 2023 model.
production.Supply chain missteps also are impacting stocks in other.
methods. 10s of countless so-called “ghost systems” of the F-150 and.
Chevrolet Silverado have actually rolled off the assembly line however were.
missing essential parts, and have actually been gathering in parking lots.
near their respective factories up until they can be released. On top.
of those unfinished units, Ford dealers had nearly as lots of F-150s.
advertised the week ending December 4 as they did in August in.
September. When the ghost units finally receive their required parts.
and enter wholesale inventory – Ford hopes it will take place by the.
end of December – that will contribute to the pressure to clear out the.
22 models at the dealership level.The combined black-swan occasions of COVID, semiconductor.
scarcities, and the Russian intrusion of Ukraine disrupted.
conventional manufacturing and supply standards – the latest downstream.
impact being the overrun of previous model-year production and.
inventory. How the market can recuperate to its regular cadence.
depends on its versatility to these continued disruptions.

This post was published by S&P Global Mobility and not by S&P Global Ratings, which is an individually handled division of S&P Global.