For all the talk of low inventories, and car dealers tacking
” market modifications” on top of MSRP, there were almost a.
half-million systems of leftover 2022 model year lorries still.
Promoted for sale in the United States heading into the.
weekend of December. That is on top of the 2023 vehicles that have.
been showing up on dealer lots.According to S&P Global Mobilitys analysis of US dealership.
advertised stock data, mainstream brands Ford, Chevrolet, Ram,.
and Jeep had about 300,000 systems of 2022 designs marketed as.
offered for sale the week ending December 4. Those 4 brands.
account for 71% of 2022 marketed inventory listed by mainstream.
brand name dealers – and 66% of all dealer-advertised stock when.
including high-end marques.Among high-end brands, Mercedes-Benz and Lincoln still revealed the.
most remaining 2022 vehicles in dealership advertised inventory,.
according to the S&P Global Mobility analysis.While most car manufacturers typically reduce off production in late.
summer to shift to the new model year, and clear out the last.
of their old models by Christmas, certain automakers actually have.
seen their 2022 inventories increase in October and November.” Model year discipline has lessened,” said Cheryl Woodworth,.
speaking with associate director for S&P Global Mobility. “With.
the chip shortage, inventory control is not as precise as it.
used to be.” Is running old inventories into the brand-new design year a bad thing?
It can be for automakers, however it might spell retail relief for.
customers. With 22 designs carrying the stigma of being “older” -.
even if the 2023 model is the same – that can indicate dealerships are.
incentivized to blow out the zero-miles 22s.” The longer you wait to change over your model year, the more it.
hits your recurring values in regards to tougher grading,” Woodworth.
said.Some dealerships are providing below-MSRP discount rates on lorries that.
carried sticker-price-plus Monroney labels simply months prior to. And.
with consumer need waning due to external financial forces such as.
inflation and recession-related layoffs, the pressure to move the.
metal increases.Usually, the stock arc for each design year follows a.
predictable curve, peaking in spring as production strikes its stride,.
and then coming down in summer season during the annual selldown and the.
model year shifts in September and October. But supply chain.
turmoil has actually made it impossible for some automakers to follow.
tradition.That said, with particular aspects of the supply chain still in.
flux, it may make sense for manufacturing continuity to continue.
If a 2023 minor design modification consists of a part, building 2022 models.
that is not readily offered, Woodworth said.In November, Ford was still delivering 2022 Escapes to.
dealerships from its Louisville factory, as the 2023 minor design.
change is still increase. The very same extension of late.
production 22 designs applies to the Ford Bronco Sport and Lincoln.
Corsair, which share much of their foundations with the Escape.
platform.Remaining 2022 systems are often particular to particular designs. In.
the marketplace for a luxury SUV? The models with the highest staying.
2022 design year units are the Mercedes-Benz GLC and Lincoln.
Corsair.Why the excess 22 Mercedes GLCs? Its still awaiting a 2023.
freshening – the nationwide mbusa.com website still wasnt listing.
the 2023 as readily available on December 15 – and as such 2022 models are.
still in strong supply. Among high-end brand names, Mercedes had 33% share.
of staying 22 designs still marketed the week ending December.
4, while Lincoln represented 22% share of remaining high-end.
22s. That stated, Mercedes dealerships have done a strong task of selling.
down its 2022 stocks from mid-summer in anticipation of the.
23 model arriving. And other key Mercedes volume models – GLE,.
S-Class, and C-Class – are primarily represented by 2023 model.
production.Supply chain hiccups also are impacting inventories in other.
methods. 10s of thousands of so-called “ghost units” of the F-150 and.
Chevrolet Silverado have rolled off the assembly line but were.
missing crucial parts, and have been collecting in car park.
near their particular factories up until they can be released. On top.
of those unfinished systems, Ford dealers had nearly as lots of F-150s.
marketed the week ending December 4 as they did in August in.
September. When the ghost units finally get their needed parts.
and enter wholesale stock – Ford hopes it will happen by the.
end of December – that will add to the pressure to clean out the.
22 models at the dealership level.The integrated black-swan events of COVID, semiconductor.
lacks, and the Russian invasion of Ukraine interrupted.
conventional manufacturing and supply norms – the most recent downstream.
effect being the overrun of previous model-year production and.
inventory. How the industry can recuperate to its routine cadence.
depends upon its flexibility to these continued disruptions.

This post was released by S&P Global Mobility and not by S&P Global Ratings, which is a separately handled division of S&P Global.