This post was published by S&P Global Mobility and not by S&P Global Ratings, which is an individually handled division of S&P Global.
Ongoing financial headwinds suggest no news could be great news
concerning automobile need levelsWith volume for the month predicted at 1.122 million systems,
November U.S. automobile sales are estimated to translate to an estimated
sales pace of 14.1 million systems (seasonally adjusted annual rate:
SAAR). This would represent a sustained improvement from the May
through September period but will show a decrease from Octobers.
14.9 million-unit speed, according to S&P Global Mobility.
analysis.The day-to-day selling rate metric in November (approximately 44-45K.
daily) would be in-line with levels considering that September. Translation:.
From a non-seasonally adjusted volume standpoint, car sales.
continue to plug along at a consistent pace.” Sales ought to continue to enhance, provided the anticipated sustained,.
however mild, development in overall production and stock levels,”.
said Chris Hopson, principal analyst at S&P Global Mobility.
” However, we also continue to monitor for signals of.
faster-than-expected development in inventory. Presently, there are no.
clear signs; inventories have actually advanced as anticipated. Any.
indicator of faster than forecasted development in the overall stock of.
new cars could suggest that car consumers are feeling the.
pressure of the present financial headwinds and pulling back from the.
market.” As a result, Octobers SAAR boost is likely to be an abnormality.
compared to the rest of the year, Hopson stated, including that.
there are expectations of volatility in the month-to-month outcomes.
beginning in early 2023. Market share of battery-electric automobiles is anticipated to reach.
5.9% in November. However, beyond the large coastal cities,.
retail registrations of EVs have yet to take hold, according to.
analysis from S&P Global Mobility.The top-eight EV markets in the US are all in coastal states and.
represent 50.5% of total EV registrations up until now in 2022 (through.
August). The greater Los Angeles and San Francisco city.
areas alone represent almost one-third of overall share of the United States.
EV market. The Heartland states market share of EV sales.
is hardly half of what they contribute to general car.
registrations.” BEV market share control on the two coasts is attributed to.
their higher mix of early adopters compared to buyers in middle.
America,” stated Tom Libby, associate director of Loyalty Solutions.
and Industry Analysis at S&P Global Mobility. “Their.
demographic profile is more in sync with the conventional BEV purchaser.
than the middle-American profile.” But Libby sees potential for EV approval in leading heartland.
markets: “More acceptance and much wider consumer awareness is.
leading to a natural progression of adoption from the coasts to.
the Heartland.” (For more on this analysis of EVs in the Heartland,.
this unique report.) Supporting the EV advancement, product reveals surrounding the.
Los Angeles Auto Show recently continue to reflect the OEM.
focus.According to Stephanie Brinley, associate director of.
AutoIntelligence at S&P Global Mobility, “As automobile shows at.
their best emphasize what individuals will be driving in coming years,.
the exposes during the Los Angeles Auto Show reflect the continuing.
push toward electric and amazed lorries.” Of note, Fiat revealed it will bring a version of the European.
500 EV to the U.S. beginning in early 2024, reviving the 500e.
nameplate. Toyotas expose of the 2023 Prius hybrid included a.
Prime trim that will double the hatchbacks EV-only variety, while.
the automaker likewise showed a rendering of the bZ (” Beyond Zero”).
electric-vehicle principle, previewing a forthcoming compact SUV.
Vietnamese entrant VinFast revealed U.S.-trim variations of.
2 EV crossover additions to its lineup – bringing its potential.
United States offerings to four.